Mortgage Prepayment Behavior in a Market with ARMs Only

Author

Start Page / End Page

Volume

Issue Number

Year

Publication

Jia He and Ming Liu

64 / 80

1

1

1998

International Real Estate Review

Abstract


A study on the prepayment behavior of Hong Kong mortgage loans is conducted. With all of the loans as adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that 1) Prepayment speeds up and then slows down as the mortgage seasons; 2) Prepayment speeds up as the rate markup decreases; 3) Prepayment speeds up as the interest rate increases; 4) Prepayment speeds up when the profitability ratio of the banks ( the prime-HIBOR spread) is higher; 5) Prepayment speeds up as the price of the property market falls; 6) Prepayment speed is faster for loans with a lower loan-to-value ratio; 7) Prepayment exhibits a seasonal pattern: people tend to prepay in the summer.
 

Download Entire Article

 

Back to Previous Page