Predictability of Shariah-Compliant Stock and Real Estate Investments

Abstract

The study tests the predictability of excess returns on four global asset classes that include Shariah-compliant (SC) real estate, SC stocks, conventional real estate and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Based on weekly excess returns from January 2001 to December 2010, our empirical results do not reject the hypothesis that Shariah compliance risk is significantly priced in the excess returns of a portfolio of the four global asset classes. Shariah compliance risk and real estate risk are mutually exclusive. Fund managers will only price one common Shariah compliance risk in a pure real estate portfolio that consists of SC real estate, conventional real estate and REITs.
 

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Keywords

Shariah-Compliance (SC) risk; Common risk premia; Global asset portfolios; Predictability of excess returns; Risk diversification

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